The hryvnia to the dollar will fluctuate against the background of early parliamentary elections in Ukraine
Financial analysts predicted that will change the value of the dollar immediately after the vote. Their conclusion was published in the edition “Komsomolskaya Pravda in Ukraine”.
As noted by the expert, the foreign exchange market expected a revaluation. So on Thursday, July 18, after several days a slight growth of the dollar, the Ukrainian currency has crossed the psychological mark of UAH 26. However, the higher dollar jump failed. For lunch the next day the rate fell back almost in the interbank trading almost 30 cents. The value of the dollar sank to the level of 25.73-25.74 UAH.
According to experts, thanks to a financial correction change of course at the end of the week were insignificant. He on the interbank market slightly decreased on other segments grew. Multidirectional movements, with high probability predicts a stabilization of prices at current levels.
So, since last Friday, the official rate of dollar established by the NBU grew from 25,80 of 26.03 UAH to UAH (+0.9 percent). Demand/supply of the dollar on the interbank market, according to the company “Ukrdealing”, in the same period decreased from 25.75/25,78 to 25,74/25,76 (-0,04%/-0,08%). The average rates of purchase/sale of dollar cash in banks rose for the week from 25.75/26,04 to 25,79/26,06 (+0,2%/+0,1%). The spread between the average sale and the average purchase decreased from 1.2% to 1.0% due to a more rapid increase in the rate of purchase than the sale.
Senior analyst “Alpari” Vadim Iosub says that after the elections to the Verkhovna Rada of the Ukrainians do not need to fear a significant fall of the hryvnia against the dollar. Most likely, the rate will not change. He suggests that the election results will be similar to the data of the preliminary polls.
“On the eve of early elections to the Verkhovna Rada we can conclude that race had no effect on the foreign exchange market. Moreover, if the dollar on the interbank market tried to rise above 26 UAH, then on Friday back below this bar… on Monday after the elections, possible slight increase in dollar within 10 cents. And on the horizon the week the exchange rate will be close to current levels. Next week we expect the dollar against the hryvnia will not change much. The dollar on the interbank market can be traded in a week about 25.8 UAH and the cash dollar in banks can bargain about 25.8/26.1 per UAH”, — predicts analyst.
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